Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.120906 0.129656 0.138719 0.148813 0.159751 0.171251 0.184268
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.104379 0.116953 0.130636 0.146664 0.164961 0.185245 0.209495
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.094534 0.109073 0.125427 0.145247 0.168702 0.195670 0.229171
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.085861 0.101393 0.119332 0.141675 0.168891 0.201130 0.242457
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.079873 0.096229 0.115553 0.140203 0.170997 0.208446 0.257806
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.075550 0.092664 0.113301 0.140195 0.174575 0.217395 0.275299
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.070827 0.088249 0.109640 0.138051 0.175120 0.222288 0.287558
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.067191 0.084949 0.107119 0.137092 0.176957 0.228715 0.301915
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.066001 0.084668 0.108367 0.140984 0.185211 0.243817 0.328568
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.063023 0.081876 0.106162 0.140111 0.186931 0.250101 0.343266
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.060091 0.078988 0.103661 0.138654 0.187687 0.254970 0.356061
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.056655 0.075259 0.099845 0.135176 0.185398 0.255378 0.362319
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.055386 0.074465 0.100032 0.137330 0.191235 0.267696 0.386871
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.052792 0.071734 0.097434 0.135427 0.191153 0.271462 0.398870
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.050597 0.069457 0.095352 0.134130 0.191827 0.276274 0.412584
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.047934 0.066405 0.092035 0.130866 0.189390 0.276254 0.418682
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.046043 0.064378 0.090096 0.129520 0.189726 0.280374 0.431424
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.044674 0.063048 0.089099 0.129513 0.192057 0.287601 0.449448
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.042825 0.060943 0.086882 0.127553 0.191254 0.289853 0.459381
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.041391 0.059395 0.085424 0.126677 0.192077 0.294660 0.473732
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.041243 0.059752 0.086811 0.130234 0.200042 0.311240 0.508807
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.039951 0.058335 0.085461 0.129436 0.200952 0.316334 0.524359
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.038591 0.056768 0.083821 0.128104 0.200915 0.319820 0.537220